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Aiming to create a wastewater portal for c19 measurements for multiple european countries.

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Red Sewer Fox
Covid Fox Monitoring
A Covid Wastewater Project

Project Direction

There are several aims that I want to fulfill with this project.

  • Give People An Overview of Current Covid Transmission Levels
  • Collect & Share Data Sources for people to use for their Covid-projects

In order to fulfill these aims the current project direction is

  • Find more Datalinks to Covid Wastewater Data (Please suggest!) 🔨👷🚧⚠️ ${\color{darkorange}\text{In Progress}}$
  • Find ways to use social media data ❌ ${\color{red}\text{Cancelled}}$
  • Find ways to pull aggregated google trends search terms data by region
  • Find ways to pull aggregated mobility data per region
  • Forecast covid transmission per country 1-4+ weeks ahead ✔ ${\color{green}\text{Completed}}$
  • Forecasts per region
  • Improve forecasts
  • Add variant data for better predictions ❌ ${\color{red}\text{Cancelled}}$
  • Improved data standardization ❌ ${\color{red}\text{Cancelled}}$
  • Add Research News from Nature.com using LLM to interpret Abstract for laypersons.✔ ${\color{green}\text{Completed}}$

Reliability of The Project

  • Find ways of better hosting (URGENT - Exceeding free github tier) ✔ ${\color{green}\text{Completed}}$
  • Data Quality Control
  • Implementation of proper CI/CD pipeline
  • Testing prior to releases
  • Full automation of independent daily updates

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Outside of Scope (Currently)

  • Simulations of NPI's & transmission level



Please Note: The graphs and data are to be interpreted carefully.


Current Status

Geo Map Viz

Link to Covid-19 Wastewater Monitoring Website (Click Here!)


Colorization Rule (Current)

Interpretation

  • Sweden: Red = "High Transmission". Based on the height of Uppsala wastewater measures during wave 1 2020.
  • All Other Countries: Red = "Relatively High Transmission". Based on each country separately relative to the Min-Max values in the timeperiod.
  • Withinin country comparisons can be made.
  • Between country comparisons should ONLY be made with careful interpretation. The colors are relative, so I believe only relative time dimension interpretations are possible. NOT degree of transmission on a specific week. The reason is that almost each country uses different metrics to track transmission.

The Heuristic of the Swedish Cut-off Value of 10 and above indicated as "high transmission" (red). (EDIT 2024-12-11: Equivalent value of 10 in new source file scale is 660 000) Trendline Viz


Trendline Charts

Later might update the trend graphs. The trick is to figure out how to create a concise & intuitive overview. Trendline Viz

Prediction Models

A simple Neural Net implemented. Caution: Very early stage. Interpret carefully. Known issues:

  • Bugs when running for some countries e.g. Finland and Poland.
  • Will not capture sudden strong spikes. prediction

AI LLM

Uses a large language model to make research news more accessible to non-scientists.

Questions?

For questions, suggestions, requests or ideas: Contact me on twitter or linkedin.

Twitter URL

Linkedin LinkedIn 

Email: daniel.dynesius@asciendo.ai

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Aiming to create a wastewater portal for c19 measurements for multiple european countries.

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